Question

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction206

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<120

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>350

...

4.7%

170.6

205.7

258.6

7.9%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

AI Progress Essay Contest

AI Technical Benchmarks

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Culture

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Technology

Computer science

Education

Aerospace engineering

ImageNet

Database

History

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

195

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

AI Progress Essay Contest

AI Technical Benchmarks

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Culture

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Technology

Computer science

Education

Aerospace engineering

ImageNet

Database

History

What Should Be AI's Top Focus? 5 Industry Leaders Weigh in

Time•Sep 12, 2024

How Intel Stock Can Surge 3x To $60

Forbes•Sep 12, 2024

'We're only in 1996': Why the AI boom is still in its earliest days, according to Bank of America

Business Insider•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

195

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?