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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?

resultNo

Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?

95%chance

Will we reach the island of stability by 2050?

36%chance

What will be the value of the (herein described) "AI winter index" at end of 2021?

result-0.5

By January 1, 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?

5.9%chance

Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?

82.6%chance

What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?

420T
digits

When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?

26 Jan 2026

Will the first AGI be based on deep learning?

95%chance

What percentage of top colleges in the United States will not require the SAT or ACT for freshman admittance in 2030?

72.6%