Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?
9%
39
34 comments
34
When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?
2030-09-22
29
47 comments
47
When will a fifth nation launch a person into space?
2029-12-24
11
7 comments
7
What will be the heaviest payload (in kg) put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service on January 1, 2050?
221k
6
13 comments
13
Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?
10%
12
8 comments
8
Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?
51%
14
11 comments
11
Will either a space elevator or a skyhook transport at least 10 metric tons (cumulative payloads) before 2046?
4%
12
17 comments
17
When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously?
2030-01-01
29
31 comments
31
If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?
88.6
14
16 comments
16
If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?
35.8
17
15 comments
15
Load more