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Most useful forecastint tools/data sources
26
33 comments
33
Metaculus Meta
What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?
206
4
4 comments
4
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?
91
4
no comments
0
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?
62%
7
17 comments
17
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
December 14, 2024:
91.9
6 comments
6
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Keep Virginia Safe II Update
12
11 comments
11
Keep Virginia Safe II
Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?
13%
6
31 comments
31
When will an open-source software capable of tagging images and videos with 99% accuracy and processing images at a rate of at least one image per second on Orange Pi 5 be available?
2029-06-18
1
1 comment
1
By what date will an AI system demonstrate human-level accuracy in extracting data from all types of charts in documents?
2025-08-25
2
5 comments
5
When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML?
Resolved :
May 4, 2022
13
32 comments
32
AI Technical Benchmarks
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