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What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?
206
4
4 comments
4
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?
91
4
no comments
0
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?
62%
7
17 comments
17
The next five years
5
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
How much of AI progress is from scaling compute? And how far will it scale?
7
10 comments
10
AI Progress Essay Contest
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
December 14, 2024:
91.9
6 comments
6
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
When will an open-source software capable of tagging images and videos with 99% accuracy and processing images at a rate of at least one image per second on Orange Pi 5 be available?
2029-06-18
1
1 comment
1
When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML?
Resolved :
May 4, 2022
13
32 comments
32
AI Technical Benchmarks
Which image classification benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?
Resolved :
1
1
4 comments
4
What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2021-06-14 in top-1 accuracy?
Resolved :
86.8
6
8 comments
8
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
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