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Assassination by autonomous weapon by 2025?

resultNo

When will an AI system score an impressive defeat of a professional human in Starcraft 2?

result24 Jan 2019

When will programs write programs for us?

result07 Jul 2021

When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?

24 Feb 2028

When will an AI achieve competency in the Atari classic Montezuma’s Revenge?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Jun 2019

Hutter prize: when will a compression method achieve 1 bit-per-character on a 100MB sample of Wikipedia?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

21 Mar 2024

Reliable automatic coding of described rules by 2030?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

63%chance

Will an AI be trained using an Avogadro's number of operations before the end of 2018?

resultNo

What will be the value of the (herein described) "AI winter index" at end of 2021?

result-0.5

Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

26
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