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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
27%
34
27 comments
27
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: overview
14
5 comments
5
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
8%
13
1 comment
1
Ragnarök Series
Will the text of the Voynich manuscript be successfully translated before 2051?
36%
13
7 comments
7
What will be the largest number of digits of π to have ever been computed by December 31, 2025?
6e14
9
17 comments
17
When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?
2.31k
15
16 comments
16
What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?
206
4
4 comments
4
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
What will be the largest grouping of stars in the Milky Way, in the year 1 billion, that don't seem to be militarily hostile to each other?
6.41e-1
3
39 comments
39
Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?
3%
16
23 comments
23
Intersections between nuclear risk and AI
5
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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