Question

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction95%

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50%

community: 95%

Authors:

will_aldred fist

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Scheduled resolution:

Jensen Huang says if 'anything were to happen' in Taiwan, Nvidia could have GPUs made somewhere else

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

OpenAI is showing that the AI race is survival of the richest

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

How to build more powerful chips without frying the data centre

Economist•Sep 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of U.S. or U.S.-allied AI chips before 2027?

31%

If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?

54%

Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

83%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred fist

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Jensen Huang says if 'anything were to happen' in Taiwan, Nvidia could have GPUs made somewhere else

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

OpenAI is showing that the AI race is survival of the richest

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

How to build more powerful chips without frying the data centre

Economist•Sep 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of U.S. or U.S.-allied AI chips before 2027?

31%

If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?

54%

Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

83%