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When will a Chinese organization train a large model on GPUs that deliver more than 1500 TFLOPs@FP16?
2024-12-15
4
no comments
0
AI in China
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies in early 2023 still be in the top 20 in 2050?
58%
7
7 comments
7
Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025?
1%
6
19 comments
19
Will there be an emergency shutdown at a Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) facility before January 1, 2025?
4%
2
2 comments
2
AI in China
condition
LLM cyberattack/virus/worm before 2025?
if yes
if no
NVIDIA stock below $250 before 31 Dec 2024?
2%
2%
NVIDIA stock below $250 before 31 Dec 2024?
1%
1%
1
1 comment
1
Conditional Cup
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
98%
≤3 nm
81%
≤2 nm
28.3%
10
4 comments
4
Chinese AI Chips
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
15%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
3%
1 other
6
no comments
0
Chinese AI Chips
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
13%
Amazon Web Services
10%
Microsoft Azure
8%
1 other
6
no comments
0
Chinese AI Chips
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD
2%
Nvidia
2%
Google
1%
7
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?
Q1 (FY2025, ends Apr 2024):
13.9
6
1 comment
1
Chinese AI Chips
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