Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?
6%
52
76 comments
76
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
1%
96
67 comments
67
Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?
2%
20
9 comments
9
How much global warming by 2100?
2.85
95
120 comments
120
Will a world war begin before 2151?
59%
55
38 comments
38
Will another 9/11 on U.S. soil be prevented at least through 2030?
78%
14
13 comments
13
What will be the total aggregate score given to China by Freedom House for the calendar year 2028?
10.8
23
20 comments
20
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?
30%
147
236 comments
236
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
When will North Korea have a McDonald's?
2045-08-07
21
12 comments
12
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
1%
19
18 comments
18
Load more