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Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?

resultNo

by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?

resultNo

Will a personal computer based on "The Machine" technology be put to market by end of 2018?

resultNo

Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?

resultNo

50% hit rate for the Kepler optical planet detections?

Ambiguous

Will Moore's Law end by 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

58%chance

Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

22%chance

What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?

result37.96

Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?

47.2%chance

When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?

27 May 2025