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Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?
83%
11
6 comments
6
Effective Institutions Project
Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?
4%
16
10 comments
10
Business of AI
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
2.43M
10
9 comments
9
AI Technical Benchmarks
Will OpenAI reach its profit cap for the first round of investors by 2035?
50%
14
9 comments
9
Business of AI
Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?
32%
6
22 comments
22
AI Technical Benchmarks
When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?
2024-07-21
14
22 comments
22
AI Technical Benchmarks
What will be the best perplexity score by a language model on the Penn Treebank (Word Level) by the end of 2024?
10.9
5
3 comments
3
AI Technical Benchmarks
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?
90%
14
4 comments
4
AGI Outcomes
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?
12%
12
18 comments
18
AGI Outcomes
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?
4%
11
4 comments
4
AGI Outcomes
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