Question

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

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Total Forecasters346

Community Prediction10%

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community: 10%

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

European Union

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Iraq

Georgia (country)

US presidential election

NATO

Libya

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

New START

If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

2032-09-04

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

European Union

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Iraq

Georgia (country)

US presidential election

NATO

Libya

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

New START

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If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?

2032-09-04

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%