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Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?

Ambiguous

Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?

resultYes

Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?

resultNo

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

1%chance

Will the European Parliament pass rules granting AI personhood, among other provisions?

resultYes

Article 50 triggered by UK by end of March 2017?

resultYes

Brexit negotiations completed by March 2019?

resultNo

1 million European electric vehicles: when?

result15 Mar 2018

Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

20%chance

Increased formal recognition of animal sentience?

Ambiguous