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Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
38
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?
80%
9
23 comments
23
Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?
85%
5
4 comments
4
When will Afghanistan allow same-sex marriage?
2093-02-08
9
15 comments
15
An Advancing Islamic State in Nigeria?
16
4 comments
4
How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025?
12.2
4
3 comments
3
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
33.4%
Latvia
32%
Poland
30%
9 others
8
8 comments
8
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
10 comments
10
Research
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
65%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
52 others
29
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
70%
Mali
68%
Libya
60%
70 others
19
59 comments
59
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