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Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Kamala Harris
55%
Donald Trump
45%
Joe Biden
1%
17 others
272
2.6k comments
2.6k
When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?
2064-03-27
10
36 comments
36
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
38
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
When will the next landslide presidential election happen in the United States?
2048-07-28
9
1 comment
1
When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?
> 2052
57%
2044
12%
2052
11%
6 others
5
6 comments
6
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
2056-10-10
1
5 comments
5
🔗 Conditionals Now Support Question Groups
36
8 comments
8
Metaculus Meta
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris (D)
54.7%
Donald Trump (R)
48%
Nikki Haley (R)
40%
17 others
20
66 comments
66
Introducing Conditional Forecast Copying
10
1 comment
1
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
if yes
if no
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
95%
95%
US is a NATO Member until 2029?
99%
99%
5
12 comments
12
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