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By November 2nd, 2020, will the ten cities with the highest number of surveillance cameras per 1,000 people all be located in China?

resultNo

LRT 2.4: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?

result659

Counterfactual LRT 2.5: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?

Ambiguous

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

8%chance

Will Russia recognize a breakaway state of any territories claimed by Ukraine by 2023?

Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024?

resultNo

Ukraine Conflict Update for Sunday, 2022-03-13

6
1 comment1
Ukraine Conflict

Ukraine Conflict Update for Monday, 2022-03-14

13
1 comment1
Ukraine Conflict

Will Georgia control South Ossetia and Abkhazia before 2028?

3%chance

[Short Fuse] Will Raphael Warnock defeat Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate runoff on Tuesday?

resultYes