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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?

resultNo

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

8%chance

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

87%chance

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025?

12.2
countries

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

Sudanresult: Yes
Niger67%
Haiti62%
and 52 others

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

Syria81%
Haiti70%
Mali61%
and 70 others

Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025?

resultNo

Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World

2
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives