• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🤖
Q2 AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?

resultNo

Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?

resultNo

Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2025?

resultYes

Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?

46%chance

What will be the highest pixel resolution of commercially available optical satellite imagery, purchasable in a NATO country, in the year 2050?

14.5 cm

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

8%chance

Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022?

resultNo

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

42.1%chance

Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement?

resultNo

If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?

63%chance