Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?
11
6 comments
6
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
158
Community Prediction
83%
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 83%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Authors:
dschwarz
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI in China
Effective Institutions Project
Artificial Intelligence
Amazon (company)
Alibaba Group
Baidu
China
Anthropic
Meta
Yandex
ByteDance
SenseTime
Tencent
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
dschwarz
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI in China
Effective Institutions Project
Artificial Intelligence
Amazon (company)
Alibaba Group
Baidu
China
Anthropic
Meta
Yandex
ByteDance
SenseTime
Tencent
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Similar Questions
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
5.32
When will a Chinese AI Lab train a model with at least 2.1E+24 FLOPs (~10% of GPT-4)?
2024-07-03
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
95%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
5.32
When will a Chinese AI Lab train a model with at least 2.1E+24 FLOPs (~10% of GPT-4)?
2024-07-03
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
95%
Show More Questions
News Match
The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery
Time
•
Sep 12, 2024
OpenAI’s Fund-Raising Talks Could Value Company at $150 Billion
New York Times
•
Sep 12, 2024
OpenAI is showing that the AI race is survival of the richest
Business Insider
•
Sep 12, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery
Time
•
Sep 12, 2024
OpenAI’s Fund-Raising Talks Could Value Company at $150 Billion
New York Times
•
Sep 12, 2024
OpenAI is showing that the AI race is survival of the richest
Business Insider
•
Sep 12, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch