Question

Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?

69 comments69

Total Forecasters397

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics

Ethics

Artificial intelligence

Existential risk from AGI

AGI

New York University

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

99%

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

96%

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

83%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics

Ethics

Artificial intelligence

Existential risk from AGI

AGI

New York University

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

99%

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

96%

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

83%