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What proportion of offensive nuclear detonations by 2030 will be of nonstrategic nuclear weapons, if there's at least one offensive detonation by then?
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Total Forecasters
11
Community Prediction
8.35e-1
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lower 25%
median
upper 75%
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...
...
7.061e-2
8.347e-1
9.799e-1
Background Info
Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Strategic nuclear weapon
Physics
Military science
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Security
Tactical nuclear weapon
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
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Authors:
havlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Strategic nuclear weapon
Physics
Military science
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Security
Tactical nuclear weapon
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Submit Tags Feedback
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