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Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
22%
58
68 comments
68
What proportion of offensive nuclear detonations by 2030 will be of nonstrategic nuclear weapons, if there's at least one offensive detonation by then?
8.35e-1
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?
2035
4%
2030
2%
3
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the first offensive nuclear detonation by 2024 be of a nonstrategic nuclear weapon, if there's an offensive detonation by then?
Resolved :
Annulled
1
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Tournament