Question

Will the UN host a meeting in November to continue discussions regarding lethal autonomous weapons?

Resolved :Yes

2 comments2

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction63%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 63%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

31.8

Community Peer Score

-5.8

median 63.0%mean 70.4%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Public Perception of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

Lethal autonomous weapon

Military science

Robotics

Artificial intelligence

Kim Jong-un

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

12%

Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?

66%

Intersections between nuclear risk and AI

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Public Perception of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

Lethal autonomous weapon

Military science

Robotics

Artificial intelligence

Kim Jong-un

A.I. Drones Are the Future of War. We Are Not Ready for It. - The New York Times

New York Times•Sep 13, 2024

China opts out of international blueprint to stop AI race in weapons development

FOX News•Sep 13, 2024

Biden administration to host international AI safety meeting in San Francisco after election

Associated Press•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

12%

Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?

66%