US-China war before 2035?

conditional

US is a NATO Member until 2029?

if yes

if no

US-China war before 2035?

Make a Prediction

US is a NATO Member until 2029?	US-China war before 2035?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 6.1%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

North Atlantic Treaty

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → US is a NATO Member until 2029?

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

North Atlantic Treaty

Russia and China's anti-US alliance is growing even more threatening

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

Defense experts warn US military ‘not prepared’ for major global war as Congress feuds over funding

New York Post•Sep 18, 2024

US Navy Chief Unveils Plan To Be Ready for War With China By 2027

AntiWar•Sep 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch