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Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050?
4%
34
40 comments
40
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
32%
104
199 comments
199
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
69%
19
18 comments
18
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
9%
32
53 comments
53
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?
80%
30
47 comments
47
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Red Line Podcast tackles Metaculus Questions
9
2 comments
2
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
2046-02-27
4
6 comments
6
Verity
Will there be a US-China war before 2035?
10%
39
34 comments
34
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?
49%
17
32 comments
32
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Global Trends 2022 with The Economist
6
4 comments
4
Global Trends 2022
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