Question

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

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Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction4.99k

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20k

...

2.075k

4.987k

8.742k

0.7%

Authors:

DavidHume

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Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

Self-driving car

Automation

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-10-09

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

2045-12-03

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

3.73

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Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

Self-driving car

Automation

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When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-10-09

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

2045-12-03

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

3.73