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When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?
2030-03-05
12
11 comments
11
Tech Futures - 52 Conversation Starters
2
3 comments
3
When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?
2073-10-09
15
25 comments
25
When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city?
2030-07-16
12
7 comments
7
AI Demonstrations
Are We Surprised by AI Milestones?
8
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Tesla
Jul 8, 2027
Waymo
Nov 22, 2026
Any Service
Oct 24, 2026
11
94 comments
94
When will the first fully autonomous surgery or procedure be performed on a human?
2032-03-23
14
4 comments
4
AI Demonstrations
How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?
4.99k
4
7 comments
7
Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?
72%
4
19 comments
19
In the coming months, will a robot/AI injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm?
Resolved :
No
4
7 comments
7
AI Safety
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