Question

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many petaFLOPs will be used to train it?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction4.06B

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1B

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5e12

...

6.9%

2.017B

4.059B

9.543B

0.2%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

FLOPS

Measurement

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Technology

Linguistics

Information technology

OpenAI

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many parameters will it have (in billions of parameters)?

1.76k

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-01-29

When will a Chinese AI Lab train a model with at least 2.1E+24 FLOPs (~10% of GPT-4)?

2024-07-03

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

FLOPS

Measurement

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Technology

Linguistics

Information technology

OpenAI

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Wired•Sep 13, 2024

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If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many parameters will it have (in billions of parameters)?

1.76k

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-01-29

When will a Chinese AI Lab train a model with at least 2.1E+24 FLOPs (~10% of GPT-4)?

2024-07-03