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When will one TeraFLOP/s cost <$1?
2029-05-17
15
18 comments
18
What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?
244
5
4 comments
4
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
1.6e17
41
43 comments
43
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47%
5
no comments
0
What percentage of top colleges in the United States will not require the SAT or ACT for freshman admittance in 2030?
72.6
17
22 comments
22
How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?
1.25
10
14 comments
14
What will be the population living on Mars in 2050?
2.34
18
11 comments
11
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
Will the total yield of nuclear weapons offensively detonated by 2050 exceed 1000Mt, if any offensive detonation occurs?
10%
-1
3 comments
3
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will the total yield of nuclear weapons offensively detonated by 2050 exceed 50Mt, if any offensive detonation occurs?
25%
1 comment
1
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
A public prediction by Elon Musk
3
2 comments
2
Elon Musk
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