Question

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

85 comments85

Total Forecasters241

Community Prediction57%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 57%

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series

Intelligence quotient

Reproductive medicine

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

2029-04-21

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck A_R Matej erikhoel

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series

Intelligence quotient

Reproductive medicine

The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery

Time•Sep 12, 2024

The weird sci-fi predictions that all came true! Now, the same 'clairvoyant' author forecasts dystopian IVF baby factories - and humans who re-generate their own amputated limbs...

Daily Mail•Sep 13, 2024

The Blank Slate and Totalitarian Creep

American Thinker•Sep 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

2029-04-21

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

50%