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Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?
2%
48
17 comments
17
Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?
9
5 comments
5
Before 2028, will studies show that humans have functionally important neurogenesis throughout their life?
75%
14
9 comments
9
By January 1, 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?
5%
37
60 comments
60
When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?
2031-05-24
20
25 comments
25
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
1.6e17
41
43 comments
43
If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?
137k
9
11 comments
11
When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?
2074-09-01
24
26 comments
26
If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?
18.7k
8
14 comments
14
When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?
2039-02-13
36
35 comments
35
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