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By January 1, 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?
5%
37
60 comments
60
When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?
2026-02-22
17
19 comments
19
AI Demonstrations
When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
2029-04-21
33
38 comments
38
By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?
57%
47
85 comments
85
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
Will Singapore be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
25%
4
4 comments
4
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
76%
10
22 comments
22
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
70%
10
3 comments
3
Predicting Polygenic Selection for IQ
14
6 comments
6
Metaculus Journal
Will India be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
18%
4 comments
4