Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

32 comments32

Total Forecasters155

Community Prediction49%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 49%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

18%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

65%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

A Navy SEAL unit that killed Osama bin Laden is busy preparing for a possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan: report

Business Insider•Sep 12, 2024

SEAL Team Six training for possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan: report

New York Post•Sep 13, 2024

Chinese TV Shows How Taiwan Invasion Would Look

Newsweek•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

18%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

65%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%