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When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?
2050-01-01
8
44 comments
44
When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years?
2062-08-05
28
8 comments
8
Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?
31%
11
47 comments
47
When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the Japanese passenger car fleet?
2026-11-06
11
6 comments
6
What will China's human development index (HDI) score be in 2030?
8.43e-1
13
7 comments
7
Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?
21%
7
3 comments
3
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
Will the next non-test detonation of a stateโs nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?
80%
2
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?
1.69e-1
3
11 comments
11
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will the United States withdraw from any of its current mutual defence treaties by 2030?
15%
8
4 comments
4
If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?
80%
30
47 comments
47
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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