Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction12%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

90%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

The Long Road to Genuine AI Mastery

Time•Sep 12, 2024

OpenAI o1 Model Warning Issued by Scientist: 'Particularly Dangerous'

Newsweek•Sep 13, 2024

OpenAI's o1 model is inching closer to human-like intelligence — but don't get carried away

Business Insider•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

90%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%