Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?
90%
14
4 comments
4
AGI Outcomes
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?
12%
12
18 comments
18
AGI Outcomes
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?
4%
11
4 comments
4
AGI Outcomes
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?
10%
12
4 comments
4
AGI Outcomes
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?
10%
11
11 comments
11
AGI Outcomes
Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?
66%
20
23 comments
23
AI Safety
When will Miegakure be released?
2027-01-24
3
4 comments
4
Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?
8%
7
1 comment
1
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0%
2
2 comments
2
condition
Interstellar Material Discovered at IM1 Site?
if yes
if no
Evidence of Alien Tech Recovered at IM1 Site?
2%
2%
Evidence of Alien Tech Recovered at IM1 Site?
1%
1%
2
1 comment
1
Load more