Question

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction2037-02-18

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-02

...

2028-04-29 12:53

2037-02-18 23:21

2057-05-20 01:09

12.5%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Sports & Entertainment

Technology

Poohsticks

Royal Academy of Engineering

Oxfordshire

University of Oxford

The House at Pooh Corner

A. A. Milne

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

2025-10-27

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

57%

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

2025-06-16

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Sports & Entertainment

Technology

Poohsticks

Royal Academy of Engineering

Oxfordshire

University of Oxford

The House at Pooh Corner

A. A. Milne

Chess: England seeded eighth as Carlsen targets gold at Budapest Olympiad

Guardian•Sep 13, 2024

AI is better than humans at crucial aspect of scientific research: study

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2024

New ChatGPT o1 Blitzes Britain’s Hardest TV Quiz

Forbes•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

2025-10-27

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

57%

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

2025-06-16

MetaculusM

fetch failed

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

Make a Prediction

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

Comments

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?

When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?