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If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in white winning?
20%
29
42 comments
42
Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?
50%
8
13 comments
13
Will Valve release a game before 2030 with 3 in the Title?
40%
25
14 comments
14
When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?
2025-05-07
12
14 comments
14
When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900?
2031-05-31
12
7 comments
7
When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?
2037-02-18
7
1 comment
1
AGI Outcomes
If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in a forced draw?
80%
19
32 comments
32
Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?
40%
9
13 comments
13
Will any of these Reddit alternatives be more popular than Reddit by 2026?
2%
13
10 comments
10
When will the Woke index in US elite media top?
2024-10-08
8
34 comments
34
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