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Will there be a 9 foot tall human by 2075?

25%chance

Drake's Equation 1st Parameter R∗: What is the average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in our galaxy?

4.55
stars/year

Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?

99%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

7%chance

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

Jul 2034

What will be the total number of COVID-19 vaccine doses purchased by the U.S. as of 30 June 2021?

result1.41B

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?

result3

Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2023?

resultYes

When will the first course on wild animal welfare be taught at a top university?

resultMore than 31 Dec 2024

When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?

resultMore than 31 Dec 2021 00:00