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What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?
10
8 comments
8
1d
1w
2m
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Total Forecasters
52
Community Prediction
165
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Probability Density
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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100k
...
...
...
120.3
165.5
410.2
2.9%
Background Info
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
AGI Outcomes
Artificial Intelligence
Economy & Business
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
Philosophy
Nick Bostrom
Artificial general intelligence
Paul Christiano
Real gross domestic product
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Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
AGI Outcomes
Artificial Intelligence
Economy & Business
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
Philosophy
Nick Bostrom
Artificial general intelligence
Paul Christiano
Real gross domestic product
Submit Tags Feedback
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