Question

Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

45.9

Community Peer Score

-4.6

median 35.0%mean 30.2%

Authors:

traviswfisher

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

US presidential election

Donald Trump

Pennsylvania

In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

20%

Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?

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