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What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the standard deduction for married couples filing jointly in tax year 2026?

Annulled$

Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Key Factor

June likely less tariff-focused than May

44%chance

Key Factor

June likely less tariff-focused than May

Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?

resultYes

Will the nuclear triad be modernized with mobile or exotically-based ICBMs?

resultNo

Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?

resultYes

Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?

resultYes

Will the next Ebola outbreak kill less than 1,000 people?

resultYes

Trump to get told "You're Fired!" ?

Ambiguous

Will Wikileaks publish the full "Panama Papers" in a publicly-accessible and searchable format?

resultNo

Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?

resultNo