Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Kamala Harris
55%
Donald Trump
45%
Joe Biden
1%
17 others
272
2.6k comments
2.6k
Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?
23%
22
33 comments
33
Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030?
1%
-17
44 comments
44
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?
0%
59
74 comments
74
Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?
1%
7
13 comments
13
Will Iowa host another "first in the nation" Democratic caucus before 2029?
33%
13
27 comments
27
Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?
1%
12
26 comments
26
Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?
50%
15
8 comments
8
Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?
99%
14
26 comments
26
When will the Catholic Church Elect a new Pope?
2026-01-26
19
40 comments
40
Verity
Load more