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In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?
5%
9
6 comments
6
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
98%
Alaska
98%
Ohio
96%
20 others
36
249 comments
249
If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?
Texas
49%
California
33.3%
Florida
23.6%
47 others
8
30 comments
30
Will a second US state adopt a unicameral legislature before January 1, 2050?
29%
6
4 comments
4
Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election?
5%
4
9 comments
9
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pennsylvania
35.7%
Wisconsin
15%
Michigan
14%
10 others
7
26 comments
26
How Many States Will Split the Senate-Presidential Ticket in the 2024 US Election?
2
35%
3
21.1%
1
17.9%
5 others
1
5 comments
5
Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?
Resolved :
No
5
3 comments
3
Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?
Resolved :
No
12
105 comments
105
What will be the US unemployment rate for March 2020?
Resolved :
4.4
6
30 comments
30
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
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