Question

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

-2

4 comments4

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Public Perception of AI

AI Demonstrations

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Neuroscience

Artificial intelligence

Computational theory of mind

80,000 Hours

Effective altruism

Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

50%

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

38%

After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Public Perception of AI

AI Demonstrations

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Neuroscience

Artificial intelligence

Computational theory of mind

80,000 Hours

Effective altruism

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Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

50%

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

38%