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Will the 'Effective Altruism' movement continue to grow through 2020?

resultNo

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

79%chance

On December 31, 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?

Ambiguous

How many posts will there be on the Effective Altruism Forum in 2020?

result1625

Will the #NoFees4Charity campaign succeed?

resultNo

Will the UK government succeed in reducing its commitment to spend 0.7% of GNI on International aid?

Ambiguous

Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?

resultNo

Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?

resultYes

Will a charity primarily operating in China become an ACE Top Charity in 2021 or 2022?

resultNo

Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to racial inequity or discrimination in 2021?

resultNo