Question

When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction2052-09-10

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-01

...

2036-11-29 11:59

2052-09-10 15:57

2075-09-25 09:34

14.5%

Authors:

TNTOutburst

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

2032-10-28

Will China be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2025?

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

Comments

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Authors:

TNTOutburst

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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Face to face with Figure’s new humanoid robot

TechCrunch•Sep 12, 2024

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Business Insider•Sep 13, 2024

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When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

2032-10-28