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Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

8 comments8

Forecast Timeline

United States

Latvia

Poland

Estonia

Lithuania

Romania

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
United States	33.4%

Latvia	32%

Poland	30%

Estonia	30%

Lithuania	30%

Romania	15%

France	10%

United Kingdom	9%

Turkey	8.7%

Norway	6%

Slovakia	6%

Hungary	6%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council

North Atlantic Treaty

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?

61%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council

North Atlantic Treaty

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Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?

61%