Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
🗳️
US Elections
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?
1%
19
18 comments
18
Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?
2%
36
55 comments
55
Verity
Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?
25%
9
14 comments
14
Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?
10%
7
11 comments
11
Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?
United States
33.4%
Latvia
32%
Poland
30%
9 others
8
8 comments
8
When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?
2035-12-02
2
4 comments
4
Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024?
Resolved :
No
30
42 comments
42
Ukraine Conflict
How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?
Resolved :
Below lower bound
4
4 comments
4
Which countries will invoke Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if it's invoked before 2040?
Poland
Ambiguous
Latvia
Ambiguous
Lithuania
Ambiguous
9 others
9
40 comments
40
Will Estonia legalize gay marriage in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
1
3 comments
3
Load more